NEW: “GOLD STANDARD” Michigan Poll Shows Abdul Growing Lead Over Mike Rogers In Final Stretch

One Week From Election Day, Democrats and Independents Consolidate Around Abdul 

Blaring Signs That Mike Rogers Is Struggling With GOP Base, Abdul Shows Strong Crossover Support With Disaffected GOP Voters

Poll Shows Strong Support For Abdul From Black Voters, Winning Deep-Red Northern Michigan And Upper Peninsula By +6 

MICHIGAN – Today, The Detroit News released their final poll of the cycle, showing Dr. Abdul El-Sayed with a commanding lead over his MAGA opponent, Mike Rogers. 

Abdul has built a strong, unified coalition of Michiganders who are fed up with the staggering fuel costs and high grocery prices brought on by the failed policies of the Trump administration. 

See Highlights From The Poll Below

  • Abdul is winning over 97% of Democratic voters—no evidence of a Democrats for Rogers coalition. 
    • Democrats are united behind Abdul’s message of getting money out of politics, money in your pocket, and passing Medicare for All.
  • Abdul is winning 88% of likely Black voters, compared to Mike Rogers’ meager 4%.
    • Black communities across Michigan have too often been an afterthought of federal policy with promised investment that arrives late, falls short, or comes with no way to measure whether it actually made a difference. Abdul has proposed a THRIVE Agenda to deliver for Black Michiganders by expanding access to capital, housing, and improving maternal health outcomes. 
    • After losing his last election, Mike Rogers advocated for a police presence at polling locations in Detroit and began his career by stripping Black Michiganders of control over their School Board in ’90s.     
  • Abdul is leading Mike Rogers by 6 points among Michigan independents, and pulling strong support from Republican leaning voters. 
    • Throughout this campaign, Abdul has demonstrated a unique appeal with Trump voters—voters who are deeply frustrated by Donald Trump’s illegal war in Iran, his costly trade war with Canada, and the price hikes brought on by the failed policies of his administration. 
  • Abdul is winning a stagerring 77% of voters under 30, and 60% of voters between the age of 30-39.
  • Abdul is leading Mike Rogers in Northern Michigan and the Upper Peninsula—a region that has traditionally voted for Trump—by a margin of nearly 6 points. 
    • This comes in the wake of Abdul’s Northern Michigan and Upper Peninsula Bus tour—showing that his strategy of going everywhere and talking to everyone is working.

Despite the national rhetoric, this poll emphasizes that it is Mike Rogers, not Abdul El-Sayed, facing support problems from his political base. This is only the latest in a long string of data points which show Mike Rogers struggling to keep his base intact. A recent New York Times poll showed Abdul winning a greater share of Trump 2024 voters than other swing-state Senate candidates, and independent focus groups have consistently shown Abdul’s message resonating with large segments of Trump’s 2024 coalition.  

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